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Creating Modern Probability: Its Mathematics, Physics and Philosophy in Historical Perspective (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)

Book Creating Modern Probability: Its Mathematics, Physics and Philosophy in Historical Perspective (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)

Book details

- By:
- Language: English
- Format: PDF - Djvu
- Pages:336
- Publisher: Cambridge University Press (January 12, 1998)
- Bestsellers rank: 3
- Category: Science & Math
*An electronic version of a printed book that can be read on a computer or handheld device designed specifically for this purpose.
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This is the only book to chart the history and development of modern probability theory. It shows how in the first thirty years of this century probability theory became a mathematical science. The author also traces the development of probabilistic concepts and theories in statistical and quantum physics. There are chapters dealing with chance phenomena, and current major mathematical theories, together with their foundational and philosophical problems. Among the theorists whose work is treated at some length are Kolmogorov, von Mises and de Finetti.

"The reader will find a wealth of interesting material in this book. Exploring the ways in which the investigation of initially disparate special cases in physics and mathematics eventually led to the development of unified, rigorous, general, and profound theories of formal probability and its application to the worlds of physics and the theory of action is a fascinating intellectual journey." Lawrence Sklar, The Journal of Philosophy"Von Plato's narrative...nicely interweaves the philosophical, historical, and mathematical aspects of the subject. In doing so von Plato has consulted and drawn on a substantial body of archival material: letters, unpublished manuscripts, and drafts of later-published papers. Thus his book does not just simply revisit the standard chestnuts of the field, but substantially adds to our knowledge of them....In sum, this is a welcome addition to the literature: timely, informed, and technically competent." S.L. Zabell, Isis"Jan von Plato's Creating Modern Probability is a book to celebrate. It will be a source of pleasure for probabilists and a stimulus for historians. Combing a sweeping vision with a sympathetic and thorough marshaling of sources, it brings to life the emergence of measure-theoretic probability in the first third of the twentieth century....Von Plato's mathematical precision will satisfy specialits, while his success in organizing his sources with respect to larger questions will provoke and enable a new cycle of historical research and debate.... With grace and finesse, von Plato has conquered the buffer period of 1900-1933 for history. With grace, because his understanding of the mathematics of the period cannot be faulted. With finesse, because he has honored fully the claims of contemporary probabilists." Glen Shafer, The Annals of Probability"Jan von Plato's Creating Modern Probability is a book to celebrate. It will be a source of pleasure for probabilists and a stimulus for historians. Combing a sweeping vision with a sympathetic and thorough marshaling of sources, it brings to life the emrgence of measure-theoretic probability in the first third of the twentieth century....Von Plato's mathematical precision will satisfy specialits, while his success in organizing his sources with respect to larger questions will provoke and enable a new cycle of historical research and debate.... With grace and finesse, von Plato has conquered the buffer period of 1900-1933 for history. With grace, becuase his understanding of the mathematics of the period cannot be faulted. With finesse, because he has honored fully the claims of contemporary probabilists." Glen Shafer, The Annals of Probability This is the only book to chart the history and development of modern probability theory. It shows how in the first thirty years of this century probability theory became a mathematical science. The author also traces the development of probabilistic concepts and theories in statistical and quantum physics. The principal audience for the book comprises philosophers and historians of science, mathematicians concerned with probability and statistics, and physicists.


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  • By Justin Z. Smith on August 15, 2017

    This is a great book. Von Plato covers different thoughts on what "probability" is, based on work in physics, math, and philosophy. Some of the main people he looks at are Von Mises, Kolmogorov, and De Finetti, which covers frequentism, measure theoretic/mathematical, and subjective/Bayesian in some detail. He covers work by others too, but these are the main people. The book is not all words; you will find some equations, inequalities, integrals, and so on sprinkled in. Again, I strongly recommend this book if you enjoy probability, philosophy, and science.

  • By Michael Emmett Brady on July 18, 2004

    The title of this book is somewhat misleading.A more appropriate title would have been"The Probabilistic Foundations of Modern Physics:A Historical,Mathematical and Philosophical Perspective (with an appendix on Bruno de Finetti)".von Plato takes a very narrow view of what "Modern" probability is.Essentially,it is the approach of some one like R. von Mises's place selection criteria supplemented and/or replaced by de Finetti's exchangeability criteria for dealing with a series or sequence of events.J M Keynes is mentioned three times in throwaway sentences.R Carnap gets a couple of throwaway sentences.Interval estimates and/or indeterminate or imprecise probabilities are not covered in this book.In conclusion,the title is a misnomer.


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